The Italian is favored to win today’s final against Guido Pella but not too much. When it comes to finals, I hardly ever favor anyone. I would say both players have a fifty-fifty chance to win. Neither of them has seen many finals: Pella has played in two of them and Cecchinato only one, so they will both be very nervous. Admittedly, Cecchinato did claim the title in Budapest as the lucky loser and played in the semifinals at Roland Garros; however, things certainly will not go as smoothly for him as they did last night.
Cecchinato was very clinical in finishing the match even though the start was a bit odd. Eighteen minutes into the match and Trungelliti had 2:0 and several break points for a double-break lead but then lost three or four games in the next five minutes and fell apart completely soon afterwards. He made loads of mistakes; then again, I did not expect the Argentinian to do any serious damage to Cecchinato seeing as the Italian is currently much better, he is strong and more concrete… Plus, he already defeated Trungelliti at Roland Garros. To win this match, the Argentinian needed quite a few things to happen for him but they obviously didn’t.
Guido Pella and Robin Haase played an unusual match. The sets went smoothly and Pella showed he was in great form and would not stop in his quest for the title. Haase struggled with his serve, but those are his usual shortcomings – they seem to frequently appear when he is on the verge of some great achievement. This time he had problems with his serve, other times it’s his forehand, or even backhand. When things are going his way, then he can be a tough opponent. Unfortunately, that rarely happens so that is why he is where he is – even though he is worth much more because of his talent.
This time, Pella used the opportunity well and reached his first ever ATP final. His confidence skyrocketed after his win over Marin Čilić at Wimbledon and I don’t think even he knows what he has achieved here. I said Cecchinato was a slight favorite to win this final, so let us see how Pella could threaten the Italian. It is his left hand. His left serve to Cecchinato’s backhand, and his left forehand to Cecchinato’s backhand. Also, Guido has a solid backhand, so he can do considerable damage in this match.